Global burden of disease changes related to high red meat diets and breast cancer from 1990 to 2021 and its prediction up to 2030
Tong Y, Ning H, Zhang Z, Zhang X, Tu H, Yang M, Li X, Liang T
Frontiers in nutrition · 2 citations
Review labels
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How it was studied
- Design
- Cross-sectional study (classified by our AI screen)
- Studied in
- People
- Main outcome
- Clinical events such as disease or death
- Intake measured by
- Not stated
Who paid for it
- Funding
- Independent funding
- University or hospital
- University of Electronic Science and Technology of China
Based on 1 listed funder(s) and full-text disclosure statement.
Publication
- Published
- 2025-06-04 · Front Nutr · vol. 12 · p. 1586299
- Publisher
- Frontiers Media
- Cited
- 4 citations · more than 92% of similar papers · 3.6× the field average
- Impact
- Top 10% most cited in its field
- References
- 47 works
- Access
- Open access (journal) · CC-BY
- Research areas
- Nutritional Studies and Diet · Cancer Risks and Factors · Global Cancer Incidence and Screening
- Keywords
- Breast cancer, Medicine, Demography, Burden of disease, Years of potential life lost, Disease burden, Disease, Cohort, Cancer, Environmental health, Public health, Gerontology, Life expectancy, Population, Internal medicine, Pathology
8 authors
From CN
- Yujun TongMianyang Central Hospital
- Hong NingUniversity of Electronic Science and Technology of China; Mianyang Central Hospital
- Zhen ZhangMianyang Central Hospital
- Xiaohong ZhangMianyang Central Hospital
- Hsi‐Feng TuMianyang Central Hospital
- Min YangUniversity of Electronic Science and Technology of China; Mianyang Central Hospital
Abstract
Background
Breast cancer associated with high red meat consumption has become a significant global health issue. This study aims to analyze the global and regional disease burden related to breast cancer attributable to high red meat diets from 1990 to 2021, and to predict future trends in disease burden through 2030, providing scientific evidence for the development of targeted public health strategies.
Methods
Data were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) database, focusing on breast cancer-related attribution indicators, including the age-standardized rates (ASRs) of mortality, years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs). The study analyzed the changes in breast cancer disease burden associated with high red meat consumption from 1990 to 2021 at the global level, across 21 regions, and in 204 countries. Future trends were projected using the Bayesian Age-Period-Cohort (BAPC) model.
Results
In 2021, breast cancer deaths attributable to excessive red meat diets totaled 81,506, with YLLs amounting to 2,135,620 person-years and YLDs accounting for 214,442 person-years. These values represent increases of 80.83, 72.69, and 65.37%, respectively, compared to 1990. Despite global decreases in the ASRs of mortality and YLLs (which decreased to 1.15/100,000 and 30.12/100,000, with EAPCs of -0.77 and -0.73, respectively), the ASR of YLDs remained relatively stable (EAPC of -0.12). Stratification by Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) revealed a significant decline in disease burden in high-SDI regions, while the ASR in low-SDI regions trended upward. Projections suggested that by 2030, the global ASR of breast cancer burden may stabilize, while the burden in low-SDI regions is expected to continue rising.
Conclusion
From 1990 to 2021, the global age-standardized rate of the breast cancer disease burden decreased, but disparities between regions with different SDI levels remain a major challenge. In the future, it is essential to prioritize addressing the burden in low-SDI regions and developing targeted interventions to optimize health resources, thereby mitigating the public health threat of breast cancer.
Abstract via Europe PMC. Copyright remains with the authors or publisher (CC BY).
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